Outcome = 10 \times time + 20 \times treatment + 25 \times timesincetreatment + noise \(\beta_3\) is the sustained effect = difference between the slope of the line prior to the intervention and the slope of the line subsequent to the interventionĬreate a fictitious dataset where we know the true data generating process.\(P\) is the time variable indicating time passed since the intervention (before the intervention, the value is set to 0) (to examine the sustained effect). \(\beta_2\) is the immediate effect after the intervention.\(D\) is the treatment variable where \(1\) is after the intervention and \(0\) is before the intervention. \(\beta_1\) is the slope of the line before the intervention. \(T\) is the time variable (e.g., days, weeks, etc.) passed from the start of the observation period \(\beta_0\) is the baseline level of the outcome.Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 T + \beta_2 D + \beta_3 P + \epsilon In each ITS framework, there can be 4 possible scenarios of outcome after an intervention full population was affected at one specific point in time (or can be stacked based on intervention).longitudinal data (outcome over time - observations before and after the intervention).Interrupted time series should be used when To interpret with control variables, see ( Bottomley, Scott, and Isham 2019).For subgroup analysis (heterogeneity in effect size), see ( Harper and Bruckner 2017).Min of 8 data points before and 8 after an intervention 38 Sensitivity Analysis/ Robustness Check.9 Nonlinear and Generalized Linear Mixed Models.Of interrupted time series studies: a simulation study.īMC medical research methodology. Evaluation of statistical methods used in the analysis Turner SL, Forbes AB, Karahalios A, Taljaard M, McKenzie JE.How real are observed trends in small correlated datasets?. What is p value and how to calculate p value by hand References.Linear regression basics and implementation in Python.Python for Everybody Specialization Related reading.Enhance your skills with courses on Machine Learning and Python resid )) # outputĢ.5848268 alternative hypothesis : true autocorrelation is not 0Īs the Durbin-Watson statistics ( d) is close to 2, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. We will use durbin_watson() function from statsmodels package,įrom import durbin_watson as dwtest import numpy as np dwtest ( resids = np. Learn more about regression analysis Calculate Durbin-Watson test in Python R - squared : 0.881 Method : Least Squares F - statistic : 82.42 Date : Fri, Prob ( F - statistic ): 3.83e-06 Time : 18 : 05 : 58 Log - Likelihood : - 40.579 No. Variable : stock_price R - squared : 0.892 Model : OLS Adj. add_constant ( X ) # fit the regression model Import statsmodels.api as sm X = df # independent variable Suppose, there is a hypothetical time-series dataset of stock prices recorded over 12 months. We will use the statsmodels package to perform Durbin-Watson test Get dataset If the value is towards 4, it indicates evidence of negativeĪutocorrelation Perform Durbin-Watson test in Python If the value is towards 0, it indicates evidence of positive autocorrelation. If the value is near 2, it indicates evidence of non-autocorrelation. Learn more about hypothesis testing and interpretationĭurbin-Watson test statistics ( d) always ranges between 0 and 4. Null hypothesis (H 0): Residuals from the regression are not autocorrelated (autocorrelation coefficient, ρ = 0)Īlternative hypothesis (H a): Residuals from the regression are autocorrelated (autocorrelation coefficient, ρ > 0) TheĪutocorrelation varies from -1 (negative autocorrelation) to 1 (positive autocorrelation).ĭurbin-Watson test analyzes the following hypotheses, It analyzes the residuals for independence over time points (autocorrelation). In regression analysis, Durbin-Watson (DW) is useful for checking the first-orderĪutocorrelation (serial correlation). Perform Durbin-Watson (DW) test in Python
0 Comments
Alternately, there are some great websites that provide fake client briefs that you can use to build your portfolio. One of the most effective ways to build your portfolio with varied, high quality work is to complete an online graphic design course like the one offered at Upskillist. Building your first graphic design portfolio can feel like an overwhelming task, especially when you haven’t done any work for clients yet. If you’re a new designer and this is your first portfolio, the first step is to ensure that you have the work you want to showcase in the first place. However, without an impressive print portfolio to accompany your digital portfolio, you’re missing out on enhancing your brand and showing how committed to your work you are.īy presenting a print portfolio, supported by a digital portfolio, you’re giving your prospects a unique experience that they’re not likely to soon forget.Top 12 tips to create a graphic design portfolio Create a body of work that you’re proud to showcase There are obvious benefits to having a digital portfolio, it’s easily updatable, it’s accessible and doesn’t require any heavy lifting. To go above and beyond, include a digital representation of the project that corresponds with your process book. Your process book should include things like how you determined your color scheme, the steps you took to reach the final design, timeline, and sketches. This is essential to your portfolio because it demonstrates your creative process and will give your prospective clients an understanding of how you get to the final product. One element to include in your portfolio is a process book. Experiment with thicker paper and embossed logos on your business cards, so you’re leaving behind something unique.Ī really impressive way to make your portfolio stand out is to use foiling throughout, it creates a polished, professional, and really beautiful final product that is sure to dazzle your audience. Utilize different textures to give them a sensory experience when viewing your portfolio. Giving prospects something they can touch, feel, and interact with will automatically set you apart from your competition who rely solely on digital portfolios. Some effective examples of creative portfolios are those that incorporate varying design techniques and unusual elements. Present your best and most unique projects that are relevant to the job they’re hiring for. This one should come naturally, you’re a designer! Your creative juices are already flowing, so why not direct your creativity at showcasing your work? Incorporate different textiles, materials, and print textures to really make your portfolio pop. Needless to say, every one of these projects should, of course, be branded with your legendary logo. Showcase the projects that allowed you to utilize the design skills you want to continue to nurture. Your brand includes the kind of work you’re an expert in and the work you love to do. If it’s infographic creation and product design, include examples of both in your portfolio. Take your time in designing and determining what your logo will be, because it should be displayed on all of your work and business cards.Īfter determining an effective logo that really represents you and your work, think about what kind of design you want to take on. Who do you want to present yourself as and how do you want to be remembered? A key piece to this puzzle is your logo. This will be all-encompassing of every single piece of work you create. The very first thing you should consider as a designer is your brand. Here are a few ways to make your print portfolio stand out. A printed portfolio is an incredible way make yourself stand out and land that job you’ve been dreaming of. If you’re a designer looking for ways to stand out in the saturated design world, we’ve got some tips for you. Many designers are now relying on a digital portfolio to showcase their work, but there is an obvious upper hand in presenting a print portfolio to potential clients or employers. Share: In order to land that dream design position, you’re going to need a unique, eye-catching portfolio. Use of any brands, names, logos or any other information, imagery or materials pertaining to a third party does not imply endorsement. All other company, product and service names, logos, brands and any registered or unregistered trademarks mentioned are used for identification purposes only and remain the exclusive property of their respective owners. Purchase and authentication of CorelDRAW Technical Suite or CorelDRAW Graphics Suite are required.Ĭorel, CorelDRAW, the CorelDRAW balloon logo, CorelDRAW.app, AfterShot, Corel PHOTO-PAINT, LiveSketch, PhotoCocktail, Pointillizer, PowerTRACE, and Smart Carver are trademarks or registered trademarks of Corel Corporation in Canada, the US, and elsewhere. **In order to access this collection of tools, you need to be connected to the internet. *Note: Collaboration features in CorelDRAW Technical Suite and CorelDRAW Graphics Suite are only available with a subscription or a license with Maintenance. Micrografx Designer support (DSF, DRW, DS4)Ĭollaborate and publish to technical communication standardsĬGM V4 (WebCGM, ATA Grexchange, ActiveCGM) OneDrive Business & Google Drive integration (Exclusive to CorelDRAW Enterprise license) Vectorization of scanned blueprints (PowerTRACE leveraging AI) Straighten photos and adjust photo perspective interactivelyĪccess and repurpose technical design assets Share symbols and sync updates from the cloudĬreate technical illustrations with precision Rockstar only confirmed earlier this year that GTA 6 was in “active development.” The Bloomberg report claimed work on the game had begun in 2014, after GTA 5’s release, but that progress was slow and GTA 6 was unlikely to see release before 2024. On the forums, they took questions relating to the source code, and appeared to share legally sensitive information relating to an ongoing court case over cheat mods for GTA Online.Įven if the leaker does not follow through and release source code or a playable build, this is still a highly damaging leak for Rockstar on a scale that has seldom, if ever, been seen. The leaker said it was “possible” they would release source code of GTA 5 and GTA 6, and even a test build of GTA 6. Further videos show shooting and conversation systems. At one point, the female character enters a strip club filled with a dense crowd. The words Vice City can be seen in some clips. The graphical treatment is quite realistic, but still consistent with the GTA house style. Then she and her male accomplice get in a shootout with police before jumping in the police patrol car and driving off. One of the longer videos, about three minutes long, shows the female player character robbing a diner, threatening staff and customers, who react in fear to having a gun pulled on them. In total, there are about 50 minutes of footage. The videos have been so widely distributed already that Take-Two’s lawyers may be fighting a losing battle in trying to scrub them from the internet. Schreier subsequently wrote on Twitter that Rockstar sources had confirmed to him that the leak of “early and unfinished” footage was real, and said the scenario was a “nightmare” for Rockstar.Īt time of writing, the videos are still available to download from links in the original post on GTA Forums, although Rockstar’s parent company Take-Two Interactive has started to issue copyright claims against videos on YouTube and social media networks in order to remove them from view. Right from the start there was little doubt over the authenticity of the videos - they were of a scale and detail that would be next to impossible to fake. The game is clearly in development, with debug programming elements visible on-screen, but has many working features. The footage appears to confirm a recent report from Bloomberg’s Jason Schreier that the game would be set in a fictionalized Miami - possibly the Vice City of GTA lore - and feature a playable female character. The videos show robberies, gunplay, open-world driving, and conversations with full voice acting. They claimed to have accessed them directly from Rockstar Games’ internal Slack. The leaker posted the videos on GTAForums under the username teapotuberhacker. In an unprecedented leak, more than 90 videos of the in-development Grand Theft Auto 6 have surfaced online. Users may make one promotional self-post per month about their own content.ĭirect posts to one of the subreddit megathreads when appropriate. It’s best to choose the latter if you use a bad graphics card. Also, select fancy or fast for connected textures. Once you have installed the Resource Pack, you will be able to see the chunks where ores. Click on video settings in the options and then on quality. INSTANTLY Includes mod support for: - Adabranium. You can also try adding the Night Vision Resource pack, but this will also. Removes textures for all non-useful resources, so you can find Iron, Gold, Diamonds, etc. Another way to fix the Ores being dark is by using a night vision potion. This is due to the fact that you are not using Optifine. Also inspired by Juno. Keep in mind that your Ores might be dark. Complete Xray (Makes stone and ores invisible and is therefore useless to use. Third step: in game settings choose needed resource pack. Second step: copy the texture pack to the C:\Users\USERNAME\AppData\Roaming\.minecraft\resourcepacks. How to install the texture pack: First step: download and install Xray Ultimate. Now you should have Xray working in Minecraft. As a nice bonus, the possibility to activate textures and disable them by pressing a button should be noted. Self-promoted links to revenue generating content are not allowed. The Xray Ultimate Resource Pack is an easy way to look for ores and only requires one extra step. Resource Packs with Xray Ultimate in Minecraft. Using your server as an example is allowed. Friendly suggestions and constructive criticism are fine. Submit content that's relevant for Minecraft administrators and developers. Download free best XRay texture packs and change the virtual world in your favorite game. Hello and welcome to /r/admincraft! This subreddit is for Minecraft administrators and developers who are serious about cultivating a quality server with a quality community. We have compiled some excellent XRay textures for Minecraft 1.7.10 for you. The pack is created by disco and looks clean, minimalist and simple. Featuring soft color tones and coming with a calming effect, OCD or obsessive compulsive disorder is a texture pack designed for the Java edition of Minecraft. Welcome to /r/admincraft! Read this guide before posting. By disco, antonsofron Simplistic Resource Packs, Bedwars Resource Packs, Clean Resource Packs. Additionally, we also offer a variety of excavator rubber tracks. We can assist with hydraulic attachments, setup, parts, and maintenance and provide tips and best practice guidelines for maximum productivity. We offer the best mini excavator equipment solutions to suit any project or requirement. Our team will help you choose the best accessory for your compact equipment. Get the Most Out of Your Machine with Our Excavator Attachments Our excavator accessories and mini excavator attachments are suitable for all major brands, such as CAT, Bobcat, JCB, ASV, Case, Gehl, Hitachi, John Deere, Kubota, Komatsu, Kobelco, Yanmar, and Takeuchi. If you want to buy an attachment that fits your machine perfectly, we have you covered. Welding Tooth, Mini Excavator, YANMAR, YB05, 0.5. We carry a large inventory of mini excavator attachments, including ditching and grading buckets, tooth buckets, breaker hammers, root rakes, and universal adapters. Bucket Tooth Spare Parts List Bucket Tooth Crawler Tractor Tooth. You can rely on us to deliver high-quality and durable solutions for your heavy equipment needs. We feature products for all makes and models that can help you enhance productivity and maximize efficiency while ensuring safety. What i like the most about this company is the way they handle orders and everything is delivered on time.At Tag Equipment, we take pride in providing an extensive range of excavator accessories, including mini excavator attachments. “For the past four years i have been a very happy client of AMS construction.Their sales staff is knowledgeable, helpful and very prompt. “AMS is a wonderful resource for rebuilt motors.“Saved us a ton of money on parts! Even if they don't know the product line they helped me find a solution.“Many thanks to AMS for going the extra mile and providing a friendly, consistent and all around fantastic service.“They have provided me with quality parts and service for three years without any part failures.and always at the lowest market price. 0 to 8 t Excavators Perfect combination between compactness, polyvalence, stability and high performances, our 2 to 5 t excavators are ideal for urban jobsites and offer you various solutions so that you can be sure to find an appropriate solution to your problem.“I highly recommend AMS for your construction part needs.Replacing the center tooth can be tricky, heres a few steps to make that daunting task much eas. “AMS has found our company both new and used CAT, John Deere and Komatsu parts quickly, while saving me lots of money! Today were going to revisit changing the tooth on a bucket.“My experience with AMS has been a pleasure, they have been more than helpful and I am looking forward to further purchases.Our team will help you choose the best accessory for your compact. I have found their service and pricing excellent. Get the Most Out of Your Machine with Our Excavator Attachments. “AMS has found heavy equipment parts for me on several occasions.1 10 AT147404 Link L/H Dipper to cylinder. They have a very helpful staff and will look out for your best interest. Bobcat offers a variety of bucket teeth, available in many shapes and sizes. “This is the place to contact for all of your construction part needs.Some of the Yanmar Attachment parts we sell include: We are a leading global supplier of Excavator buckets, Mini Digger buckets, Telehandler Buckets, Quick hitches, Attachments and Wearparts. Or select a Excavator model to browse parts. trimming) options or allow you to apply filters to your videos. They have the best mobile apps on the market by a huge margin ( iOS and Android), and recently launched a slick new Chrome based HD screen recorder too, which means you can now record helpful videos for your customers and team and share on any channel (email, SMS, social) with a simple link.īonjoro doesn't have any video editing (e.g. Record from any device - Bonjoro pretty much covers all of the bases when it comes to recording and sending videos to your prospects and customers. Here's just 5 game-changing features you’ll find in the Bonjoro lineup:ġ. Key Features □īonjoro does things very differently to the competition. So whether you are using personal videos to convert outbound prospects and inbound leads, or you're sending onboarding videos to welcome new customers, or you're just looking to deepen relationships with your existing customers, Bonjoro has you covered. You can track interactions with your Bonjoro videos in real-time, integrate Bonjoro with your existing sales & marketing tools in a matter of minutes, and add eye-catching call-to-actions to your Bonjoro videos to drive business critical outcomes like demo bookings, landing page views, and purchases.īonjoro is designed to fit neatly into your existing sales and marketing funnels, via a deep and well developed list of integrations with many mainstream ESPs and CRM's think Mailchimp, Hubspot, Active Campaign, InfusionSoft, ConvertKit, Drip, Intercom, and many more. Bonjoro is all about is helping SMEs and growing companies stand out and get true customer engagement in a world increasingly dominated by automated communications.īonjoro lets you create and share personal videos from both desktop and mobile apps. When marketing yourself as a teacher, a well-written resume is important. Resources for Teachers of Young Players by Linda Yeo Leonard There are many choices but here are a few of my thoughts about instruments you might want to consider. I am often asked for recommendations about what trombone is good to buy. This hand out, that accompanies a master class I give in schools, lists recommended recordings for all low brass instruments as well as This is a hand out that I give to students at a master class I give in schools from time to time on the subject of good breathing and articulation.Ī key to good playing is developing good listening skills. These scale sheets give one octave major, natural minor, melodic minor and harmonic minor scales and arpeggios. Scales are the building blocks of music and of good playing. These warm upsĪre specifically designed for young players who have limited practice time. A good, productive warm up session is a key to a good practice session. Several years ago, I prepared a series of warm up exercises for young trombone players that was published by the This handout outlines some specific strategies for getting the most out of a practice session. Most students need guidance in learning practice skills. It is also helpful in letting students know that their progress will be tied to their Expectations regarding payment, lesson cancellation and rescheduling, and commitment are very important for a successful student/teacher relationship.Īt the beginning of each school year, I send a copy of this letter home with each student so parents understand how I operate my teaching studio. It is important for a teacher to establish clear policies for teaching lessons. Resources for Young Players by Linda Yeo Leonard If you would like to contact Linda Yeo Leonard for trombone lessons or more information, please click You willĪlso find some particular resources that she has developed for teachers of young players as well as links to a few resources I have here on my website that have young players in mind, and someĮxternal links that both young players and their teachers might find helpful. Below you will find many resources - most in PDF format - that Linda has developed for use in her teaching. Each year, many of her students place well in various solo and ensemble contests in the state of IllinoisĪnd many of her students have gone on to college to major in music, both as performance and education majors.īecause I think it is so important for young players to have good teaching and advice as they embark on their journey to become more accomplished, I asked Linda if she would put together some of the resourcesĪnd handouts that she uses in her teaching so others could benefit from her insights. To 40 students to teach each week, her experience in working with young players is invaluable. Linda began teaching while a bass tromboneĪfter graduation with her Bachelor of Music degree in 2001, she set up her own teaching studio and also developed working relationships with many local high schools where she gives regular master classes, sectionals and lessons. While I don't have time in my busy schedule to devote myself to teaching younger players - those in elementary, middle and high school - my oldestĭaughter, Linda Yeo Leonard, has established herself as one of the leading teachers in the Chicago area of young trombone and other low brass instrument players. (1985-2012), then as Professor of Trombone at Arizona State University, and now at I have spent most of my adult life as a teacher of college and conservatory level trombonists, first at the Linda Yeo Leonard: Resources for Young Trombone Players The Illinois-born actress quit the industry earlier this year and says she now “regrets” making adult movies. Meanwhile, the most-searched porn star by Americans was Lana Rhoades, 25. On an equally bizarre end of the sexy spectrum, “The Suicide Squad” anti-hero Harley Quinn was the most-searched movie franchise or character, followed by Wonder Woman, Harry Potter, “Star Wars” and Black Widow. Com xHamster is the best porn site to get Free Porn picturesSlim, platinum-blonde teen sniffs. Pornhub revealed that “hundreds of thousands of hentai videos can be found on our website, including professional productions, homemade animations made by fans and 3D generated scenes.” Check out free Cocks in Panties gay porn videos on xHamster. The most popular search term across the United States was “hentai” - a type of Japanese anime. Pornhub is lifting the lid on America’s X-rated viewing habits, revealing their website’s most popular searches for 2021. Iggy Azalea to perform at the 2024 AVN AwardsĪre you a porn addict? 10 ways to tell if you’re putting your real-life relationship at risk U.Wisconsin’s porn-loving Joe Gow shows college rot - just like his Harvard and UPenn counterparts I tried my best, but don't judge me if you see a shitty gay website on my page! Like usual, you can read a review of each gay website by clicking on the magnifying glass.OnlyFans star ‘Coco’ reveals she got tubes tied so she can make porn The hardest part of the job was to rank all these gay sites in each category, since I couldn't count on my erectile dysfunctioning dick to help me out. The gay adult sites that have potential, but haven't earned their spot on the red carpet yet can be found in my " Hall of Fame". I also did a bit of research on Google to come up with the safest (HD) gay porn websites that would be worthy of your time, manually. I checked what kind of categories and tags gay people searched for and made categories based on the most popular results. Straight women are cocksuckers too and I respect the shit out of them. These clips are very popular among you cock suckers – and I call you that with love, appreciation and a healthy dose of friendly banter. Popular straight places like Pornhub, xHamster and XVideos also contain a lot of gay videos, which I found surprising. Gay dating sites are more than just Grindr and Scruff Here we look at free gay dating sites, lesbian dating apps, queer/non-binary online dating websites, and more. Just like on ThePornDude, you'll discover a mixture of free and premium gay porn sites. Which safe gay porn sites can I find on your list and how did you rank them? I watched men bang the shit out of each other's asses for free! It took me months to browse through thousands of gay websites and find the best "gems" for you man lovers out there, but I did it! I had to be your cock hero, so I put on my rainbow shirt, inserted a butt plug in my asshole and dyed my hair blonde to get prepared for the hardest thing I've had ever done in life without taking a dick pill. I had to make the internet great again for gay pornography. Well, since no other dick loving motherfucker was willing to take this job upon himself and Google results kept giving my gay fans a big "Fuck You" in the face when they’re trying to find good gay porn sites, I knew I was the only man for the job. The collection is constantly updated with selected hardcore sex. At first, I told you boy lovers: "Go Fuck Yourself"! I mean, me, "ThePornDude", the ultimate pussy destroying alpha male! The God of straight porn! The role model that your father should have been! The Chuck Norris of the porn industry, getting associated with dicks, cocks, schlongs or penises? Fuck no, right? I don't want the bitches to think I’ve switched to solids. Fans of the Cumshot gay porn category will find a considerable number of hot gay videos. Since a lot of you cock lovers saw my straight version - "ThePornDude", I kept getting bombarded with requests to make a gay version of it. I know it sounds weird, since sausage fests ain't my thing and I wouldn't even watch gay content if they paid me for it. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |